Post by Nws Olney Maryland on Jul 18, 2011 6:56:02 GMT -5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BRET ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER OLNEY MD AL022011
500 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2011
...BRET CENTERED JUST NORTHWEST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND...EXPECTED TO
BEGIN MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD LATER TODAY...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.2N 77.7W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM NW OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND THE ABACO ISLANDS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.7 WEST. BRET IS MOVING TOWARD
THE EAST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS
EXPECTED LATER TODAY WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF BRET WILL BEGIN MOVING AWAY FROM THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS LATER
TODAY.
DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED IN THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS
1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...BRET COULD PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING OR IMMINENT IN THE
WARNING AREA. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH LATER TODAY AS
BRET BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.
SURF...LOCALLY HIGH SURF CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG NORTHERN
AND WESTERN FACING BEACHES IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS THROUGH TODAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.
TROPICAL STORM BRET ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER OLNEY MD AL022011
500 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2011
...BRET CENTERED JUST NORTHWEST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND...EXPECTED TO
BEGIN MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD LATER TODAY...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.2N 77.7W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM NW OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND THE ABACO ISLANDS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.7 WEST. BRET IS MOVING TOWARD
THE EAST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS
EXPECTED LATER TODAY WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF BRET WILL BEGIN MOVING AWAY FROM THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS LATER
TODAY.
DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED IN THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS
1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...BRET COULD PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING OR IMMINENT IN THE
WARNING AREA. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH LATER TODAY AS
BRET BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.
SURF...LOCALLY HIGH SURF CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG NORTHERN
AND WESTERN FACING BEACHES IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS THROUGH TODAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.