Post by NHC Olney Maryland on Sept 4, 2010 11:33:24 GMT -5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 40...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL/OLNEY MD AL072010
500 AM EDT SAT SEP 04 2010
CORRECTED LOCATION IN NOVA SCOTIA TO CAPE SABLE
...EARL BEARING DOWN ON NOVA SCOTIA...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...41.7N 67.1W
ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM SW OF CAPE SABLE NOVA SCOTIA
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM E OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR MASSACHUSETTS
AND ADJACENT ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE...AND FROM SHEDIAC TO TIDNISH
* THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* POINT ESCUMINAC TO SHEDIAC NEW BRUNSWICK
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.1 WEST. EARL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL
NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF EARL WILL REACH THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA BY LATE MORNING
OR EARLY AFTERNOON TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
HOWEVER...EARL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A VERY LARGE AND STRONG
EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE CANADIAN
MARITIME PROVINCES.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WINDS...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL REACH THE WARNING AREA IN
DOWNEAST MAINE LATER THIS MORNING...AND SPREAD INTO THE WARNING
AREA IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON.
STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS COULD RISE BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST OF MAINE. WATER LEVELS
WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL VALUES ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA.
NEAR THE COASTS...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER EASTERN NEW ENGLAND...NEW BRUNSWICK...NOVA
SCOTIA...AND PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NEW JERSEY NORTHWARD THROUGH TODAY.
THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP
CURRENTS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.
TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 40...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL/OLNEY MD AL072010
500 AM EDT SAT SEP 04 2010
CORRECTED LOCATION IN NOVA SCOTIA TO CAPE SABLE
...EARL BEARING DOWN ON NOVA SCOTIA...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...41.7N 67.1W
ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM SW OF CAPE SABLE NOVA SCOTIA
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM E OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR MASSACHUSETTS
AND ADJACENT ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE...AND FROM SHEDIAC TO TIDNISH
* THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* POINT ESCUMINAC TO SHEDIAC NEW BRUNSWICK
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.1 WEST. EARL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL
NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF EARL WILL REACH THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA BY LATE MORNING
OR EARLY AFTERNOON TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
HOWEVER...EARL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A VERY LARGE AND STRONG
EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE CANADIAN
MARITIME PROVINCES.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WINDS...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL REACH THE WARNING AREA IN
DOWNEAST MAINE LATER THIS MORNING...AND SPREAD INTO THE WARNING
AREA IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON.
STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS COULD RISE BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST OF MAINE. WATER LEVELS
WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL VALUES ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA.
NEAR THE COASTS...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER EASTERN NEW ENGLAND...NEW BRUNSWICK...NOVA
SCOTIA...AND PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NEW JERSEY NORTHWARD THROUGH TODAY.
THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP
CURRENTS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.