TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY 39A

[NHC Olney Maryland]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 39A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL/OLNEY MD AL072010
200 AM EDT SAT SEP 04 2010

...EARL ACCELERATING TO THE NORTHEAST...EXPECTED TO BRING
RAIN AND STRONG WINDS TO PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.6N 68.3W
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM ESE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM SW OF CAPE SABLE NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD...NANTUCKET ISLAND...
AND BLOCK ISLAND
* STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE...AND FROM SHEDIAC TO TIDNISH
* THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* POINT ESCUMINAC TO SHEDIAC NEW BRUNSWICK

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS
LOCATED WAS LOCTAED BY SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR TO BE NEAR
LATITUDE 40.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.3 WEST. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL NORTHEASTWARD
MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL WILL
REACH THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA BY EARLY AFTERNOON TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

EARL IS A LARGE TROPICAL STORM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WINDS...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER
EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL
REACH THE WARNING AREA IN DOWNEAST MAINE LATER THIS MORNING...AND
SPREAD INTO THE WARNING AREA IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY EARLY
AFTERNOON.

STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS COULD RISE BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL AROUND CAPE COD...ESPECIALLY IN CAPE COD BAY.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OVER EASTERN NEW ENGLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NEW JERSEY NORTHWARD THROUGH TODAY.
THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP
CURRENTS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.