Post by NHC Olney Maryland on Aug 29, 2010 11:48:53 GMT -5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL/OLNEY MD AL072010
200 PM AST SAT AUG 28 2010
CORRECTED LATITUDE...
...EARL A LITTLE WEAKER...ACCELERATING WESTWARD ACROSS THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.1N 53.2W
ABOUT 660 MI...1060 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...55 MPH...90 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.2 WEST. EARL HAS
INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR
23 MPH...37 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH SOME DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL COULD APPROACH THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT EARL HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW ESTIMATED AT 55 MPH...90
KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
LIKELY TODAY...BUT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR EARL TO BECOME A
HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
BY SUNDAY NIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL/OLNEY MD AL072010
200 PM AST SAT AUG 28 2010
CORRECTED LATITUDE...
...EARL A LITTLE WEAKER...ACCELERATING WESTWARD ACROSS THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.1N 53.2W
ABOUT 660 MI...1060 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...55 MPH...90 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.2 WEST. EARL HAS
INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR
23 MPH...37 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH SOME DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL COULD APPROACH THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT EARL HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW ESTIMATED AT 55 MPH...90
KM/HR ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
LIKELY TODAY...BUT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR EARL TO BECOME A
HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
BY SUNDAY NIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.