Post by NHC Olney Maryland on Aug 6, 2010 11:06:39 GMT -5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER OLNEY MD AL042010
1100 PM AST THU AUG 05 2010
...COLIN CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD BERMUDA...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.3N 66.6W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.6 WEST. COLIN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH...ACCOMPANIED BY A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED...IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HR. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PASS JUST WEST OF BERMUDA ON
SATURDAY. HOWEVER...ONLY A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE EAST COULD BRING
THE CENTER OVER THE ISLAND.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...
WITH SOME STRENGTHENING FORECAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER
BERMUDA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES...WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 3
FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ON BERMUDA...ESPECIALLY ALONG SOUTH-FACING
BEACHES.
RAINFALL...HEAVY RAIN SQUALLS SHOULD BEGIN TO AFFECT BERMUDA BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED ON THE ISLAND.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER OLNEY MD AL042010
1100 PM AST THU AUG 05 2010
...COLIN CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD BERMUDA...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.3N 66.6W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.6 WEST. COLIN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH...ACCOMPANIED BY A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED...IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HR. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PASS JUST WEST OF BERMUDA ON
SATURDAY. HOWEVER...ONLY A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE EAST COULD BRING
THE CENTER OVER THE ISLAND.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...
WITH SOME STRENGTHENING FORECAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER
BERMUDA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES...WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 3
FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ON BERMUDA...ESPECIALLY ALONG SOUTH-FACING
BEACHES.
RAINFALL...HEAVY RAIN SQUALLS SHOULD BEGIN TO AFFECT BERMUDA BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED ON THE ISLAND.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.