Post by NHC Olney Maryland on Jul 23, 2010 12:51:50 GMT -5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER OLNEY MD AL032010
200 PM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010
...BONNIE...LESS ORGANIZED...MOVING RAPIDLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER
THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.8N 81.1W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM ESE OF NAPLES FLORIDA
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SE OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...THE EAST
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING THE
FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF
DEERFIELD BEACH TO JUPITER INLET HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO ENGLEWOOD
* DESTIN FLORIDA TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS
LOCATED INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR LATITUDE
25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST. BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER
OF BONNIE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. BONNIE IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST LATE SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A FEW RAINBANDS. NO IMPORTANT
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST WHILE BONNIE CROSSES THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA. HOWEVER...SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHEN THE
CYCLONE MOVES OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE ALONG SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA
WHILE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED TO
SPREAD OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
RAINFALL...BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
1 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN
FLORIDA LATER TODAY.
STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF
WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER OLNEY MD AL032010
200 PM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010
...BONNIE...LESS ORGANIZED...MOVING RAPIDLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER
THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.8N 81.1W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM ESE OF NAPLES FLORIDA
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SE OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...THE EAST
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING THE
FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF
DEERFIELD BEACH TO JUPITER INLET HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO ENGLEWOOD
* DESTIN FLORIDA TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS
LOCATED INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR LATITUDE
25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST. BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER
OF BONNIE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. BONNIE IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST LATE SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A FEW RAINBANDS. NO IMPORTANT
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST WHILE BONNIE CROSSES THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA. HOWEVER...SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHEN THE
CYCLONE MOVES OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE ALONG SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA
WHILE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED TO
SPREAD OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
RAINFALL...BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
1 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN
FLORIDA LATER TODAY.
STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF
WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.